Probability Theory Racehorse Profile

Probability Theory is a 4-year-old Mare, trained by Nacim Dilmi, based at Wyong. With 8 career starts and 4 wins, it has earned $156,475.

Age
4
Sex
Mare
Trainer
Nacim Dilmi
Trained at
Wyong
Sire
Microphone
Dam
Actuarial
Sire of dam
So You Think (NZ)
Owner
Domeland Pty Ltd (Mgr: Y P Cheng)
Career
8:4-0-0
Prize money
$156,475
Last start
21 Oct 2026
Recent form
9115x117x0

Probability Theory Form Guide

Probability Theory — last 15 starts
DateTrackDistClassGoingBarWgtJockeyResultMarginTimeSPWinner / 2nd
6 Oct 2026Randwick1050mBarrier TrialS74—Rachel King1 of 31.3L1:04.79—Whinchat
23 Sept 2026Beaumont800mBarrier TrialS53—Christian Reith2 of 80.5L0:47.35—Brudenell
23 May 2026Doomben2000mOpenG4956.5kgRachel King7 of 143.6L2:06.188Fireball Miss
15 May 2026Randwick1200mBarrier TrialS73—Tommy Berry1 of 60.1L1:15.16—Shangri La Impact
27 Apr 2026Randwick Kensington1300mBM72G4257kgRachel King1 of 80.5L1:16.013.4Yee Cheong Bright
9 Apr 2026Gosford1200mBM68G4457kgRachel King1 of 70.5L1:09.891.85Jacob's Ladder
24 Mar 2026Beaumont1000mBarrier TrialS58—William A Stanley1 of 71.3L1:00.09—Spandex
5 Mar 2026Wyong845mBarrier TrialS62—Christian Reith2 of 60.2L0:51.40—Sapling
15 Nov 2025Newcastle1600mOpenG4954.5kgZac Lloyd5 of 115.3L1:36.006Green Spaces
8 Nov 2025Hawkesbury1300mBM64G4354kgMitch Stapleford1 of 91.5L1:15.823.8Yabby Pump
23 Oct 2025Hawkesbury1300mMdnG4355kgTommy Berry1 of 71L1:17.975Into Brooklyn
26 Sept 2025Scone1100mMdnG4355kgAnna Roper9 of 135.2L1:03.8126Land Bank
8 Sept 2025Wyong845mBarrier TrialG46—Ashley Morgan1 of 60.2L0:51.70—Brown Sugar
18 Aug 2025Gosford800mBarrier TrialH84—Rory Hutchings2 of 60.1L0:49.53—Scarlet Monarch
16 Apr 2025Beaumont780mBarrier TrialH85—Anna Roper8 of 813.3L0:45.71—Vittozzi

Record by Condition

Starts, record (wins-seconds-thirds) and strike rate by condition
ConditionStartsRecordWin %Place %
This distance33-0-0100%100%
Good84-0-050%50%
First-up21-0-050%50%
Second-up22-0-0100%100%

Winning distances

1(1200), 3(1300)

Record by Track

Performance at each track raced
TrackRunsWinsPlacesWin %Place %
Scone1000%0%
Hawkesbury222100%100%
Newcastle1000%0%
Gosford1000%0%
Randwick2000%0%
Randwick Kensington111100%100%
Doomben3000%0%
Warwick Farm2000%0%

Record by Jockey

Performance with each jockey ridden
JockeyRunsWinsPlacesWin %Place %
Anna Roper1000%0%
Tommy Berry111100%100%
Mitch Stapleford111100%100%
Zac Lloyd1000%0%
Rachel King51120%20%
Jamie Melham1000%0%
Ben E Thompson1000%0%

Career Wins

Races won
DateRaceEventDistJockey
27 Apr 2026R4Midway (Bm72)1300mRachel King
8 Nov 2025R8Richmond Club Midway (Bm64)1300mMitch Stapleford
23 Oct 2025R4Paul Finn Memorial Provincial Mdn Plate1300mTommy Berry